Why we don’t write more papers on political finance
Despite the commonly held views of economists on regulatory capture, our profession has been much more hesitant in recognising similar conflicts of...
Rebooting UK financial regulation for the post-Brexit world
Recognising the critical role that financial markets will play in the success of the UK’s post-Brexit economy, the Treasury is now engaged in a review...
Epidemic exposure, fintech adoption, and the digital divide
Although epidemics are frequently cited as inducing changes in economic behaviour and accelerating technological and behavioural trends, there may be...
Shareholder Liability and Bank Failure
Does enhanced shareholder liability reduce bank failure? We compare the performance of around 4,200 state-regulated banks of similar size in...
Reducing the compliance costs of regulation
In much of the world, property sales are highly regulated and expensive. Using World Bank data, this column shows that while regulators and...
Dark Trading and Alternative Execution Priority Rules
Traders’ choice between lit and dark trading venues depends on market conditions, which are affected by execution priority rules in the dark pool...
Speculative and Precautionary Demand for Liquidity in Competitive Banking Markets
We demonstrate that the co-existence of different motives for liquidity preferences profoundly affects the efficiency of financial intermediation...
Using a mean changing stochastic processes exit-entry model for stock market long-short prediction
Stochastic processes is one of the key operations research tools for analysis of complex phenomenon. This paper has a unique application to the study...
CEPS/ECMI Policy Brief – Why finalizing Basel III is good for the European banking sector
Basel III is an internationally agreed set of measures to strengthen the regulation, supervision and risk management of banks. Finalising the 2017...
SUERF Policy Brief – The way forward for EU-wide stress tests
EU-wide stress tests have constituted a very useful supervisory tool for increasing the resilience of the EU banking sector. This policy brief claims...
Lending Cycles and Real Outcomes: Costs of Political Misalignment
The Economic Journal, 131(693), 2763–2796
Extrapolative Bubbles and Trading Volume
We propose an extrapolative model of bubbles to explain the sharp rise in prices and volume observed in historical financial bubbles. The model...
The Role of Sentiment in the Economy: 1920 to 1934
This paper investigates the role of sentiment in the US macro economy from 1920 to 1934. We use 2.4 million digitized articles from the Wall St...
Stake-holder Firms and the Reform of Local Public Finance in China
Since 1978 China has developed strongly using a particular form of capitalism which has relied upon close relations between private enterprise and the...
Lending Cycles and Real Outcomes: Costs of Political Misalignment
We use data on the universe of credit in Turkey to document a strong political lending cycle. State-owned banks systematically adjust their lending...
