Of AI bubbles and crashes
Warnings of an AI stock market bubble abound. Should investors and policymakers be concerned? This column argues that innovation-driven bubbles can...
Opinion Pieces
How central banks can meet the financial stability challenges arising from artificial intelligence
The growing use of artificial intelligence (AI) poses difficult challenges for the financial authorities. AI allows private-sector firms to optimise...
Five systemic threats and what to do about them
Systemic financial risk has both internal and external drivers. So, when we focus too strongly on preventing internal crises, such as the 2008 Global...
Artificial intelligence and stability
Financial institutions are rapidly embracing AI – but at what cost to financial stability? This column argues that AI introduces novel stability risks...
The one-in-a-thousand-day problem
Financial crises usually inflict the most damage when banks suddenly shift from pursuing profits to survival. This column argues that such drastic...
How the financial authorities can respond to AI threats to financial stability
Artificial intelligence can act to either stabilise the financial system or to increase the frequency and severity of financial crises. This second...
AI financial crises
The rapid adoption of artificial intelligence is transforming the financial industry. This first of a two-column series argues that AI may either...
Why so many crises happen when we know why they happen and how to prevent them
Financial crises are not complicated, and many claim to know why they happen and how to prevent them. Why then do they happen with such alarming...
How the financial authorities can take advantage of artificial intelligence
Artificial intelligence will both be of considerable help to the financial authorities and bring new challenges. This column argues the authorities...
When risk models hallucinate
Risk model hallucination happens when models are forced to forecast the likelihood of extreme events in cases where they have not been trained with...
How AI can undermine financial stability
As artificial intelligence makes inroads into the financial system, it exacerbates existing channels of instability and creates new ones. This column...
Artificial intelligence and financial stability
The use of artificial intelligence in the private sector is accelerating, and the financial authorities have no choice but to follow if they are to...
Stress-testing the banking system: what lies ahead?
Pedro Duarte Neves says stress tests must evolve to capture systemic, liquidity and cyber risks.
Stylised facts on the effectiveness of macroprudential policy
This policy note summarises the main empirical findings on the effectiveness of macroprudential policy: macroprudential policy contributes to a...
When artificial intelligence becomes a central banker
Artificial intelligence is expected to be widely used by central banks as it brings considerable cost saving and efficiency benefits. However, as this...
The legacy of cryptocurrencies
Crypto-promoters and financial authorities are split on the future of cryptocurrencies. Should crypto join the mainstream or remain in the wilderness...
