Publications

The Centre has a regular discussion paper series dedicated to academic research, as well as a special paper series focused on policy analysis. In addition, affiliated researchers publish a variety of books, reports and opinion pieces.

Discussion Papers
Jan 2015
DP 27
How does the change in the creditworthiness of a financial institution or sovereign impact its creditors’ solvency? I address this question in the context of the recent European sovereign debt crisis. Considering the network of Eurozone member...
Discussion Papers
Dec 2014
DP 26
Philippe Mueller, Andreas Stathopoulos and Andrea Vedolin
We document that cross-sectional FX correlation disparity is countercyclical, as exchange rate pairs with high average correlation become more correlated in bad times whereas pairs with low average correlation become less correlated. We show that...
Discussion Papers
Nov 2014
DP 25
In Part A of the present study, subtitled 'The Consumption Function as Solution of a Boundary Value Problem' Discussion Paper No. TE/96/297, STICERD, London School of Economics, we formulated a Brownian model of accumulation and derived...
Discussion Papers
Nov 2014
DP 24
We develop a tractable model in which trade is generated by asymmetry in agents' information sets. We show that, even if news are not generated by a stochastic volatility process, in the presence of information treatment and/or order processing...
Discussion Papers
Nov 2014
DP 23
Douglas Gale and Piero Gottardi
We study a dynamic general equilibrium model in which firms choose their investment level and their capital structure, trading off the tax advantages of debt against the risk of costly default. The costs of bankruptcy are endogenously determined, as...
Discussion Papers
Oct 2014
DP 17
We offer a model of currency carry trades in which carry traders earn positive excess returns if they successfully coordinate on supplying excessive capital to a target economy. The interest-rate differential between their funding currency and the...
Discussion Papers
Sep 2014
DP 22
Jeffrey M Chwieroth, Cohen R Simpson and Andrew Walter
Sovereign default is often associated with the downfall of incumbent governments in democratic polities. Existing scholarship directs attention to the relationship between default and domestic politics and institutions rather than the broader...
Discussion Papers
Sep 2014
DP 21
Sebastien Lleo and Bill Ziemba
We provide a historical perspective focusing on Ziemba's experiences and research on the bond-stock earnings yield differential model (BSEYD) starting from when he first used it in Japan in 1988 through to the present in 2014. The model has...
Discussion Papers
Aug 2014
DP 20
Albert N. Shiryaev, Mikhail N. Zhitlukhin and Bill Ziemba
We study the land and stock markets in Japan circa 1990 and in 2013. While the Nikkei stock average in the late 1980s and its -48% crash in 1990 is generally recognized as a financial market bubble, a bigger bubble and crash was in the land market....
Discussion Papers
Aug 2014
DP 19
Kyle Moore and Chen Zhou
This paper empirically analyses the determinants of banks’ systemic importance. With applying a novel measure on the systemic importance to US bank holding companies in 2000–2010, we show that size is an important determinant of systemic...

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