An Unconventional FX Tail Risk Story
We examine how the tail risk of currency returns over the past 20 years were impacted by central bank (monetary and liquidity) measures across the...
On the use of artificial intelligence in financial regulations and the impact on financial stability
As the financial authorities increase their use of artificial intelligence (AI), micro regulations, such as consumer protection and routine banking...
Artificial intelligence and financial stability
The use of artificial intelligence in the private sector is accelerating, and the financial authorities have no choice but to follow if they are to...
Stress-testing the banking system: what lies ahead?
Pedro Duarte Neves says stress tests must evolve to capture systemic, liquidity and cyber risks.
Stylised facts on the effectiveness of macroprudential policy
This policy note summarises the main empirical findings on the effectiveness of macroprudential policy: macroprudential policy contributes to a...
The spread of COVID-19 in London: Network effects and optimal lockdowns
Journal of Econometrics, 235 (2), 2125-2154
When artificial intelligence becomes a central banker
Artificial intelligence is expected to be widely used by central banks as it brings considerable cost saving and efficiency benefits. However, as this...
The market quality implications of speed in cross-platform trading: Evidence from Frankfurt-London microwave networks
Journal of Financial Markets, 66, 100853
Volatility and dark trading: Evidence from the Covid-19 pandemic
The British Accounting Review, 55 (4),101171
The legacy of cryptocurrencies
Crypto-promoters and financial authorities are split on the future of cryptocurrencies. Should crypto join the mainstream or remain in the wilderness...
Options-based systemic risk, financial distress, and macroeconomic downturns
Journal of Financial Markets, 65, 100834
Latent Fragility: Conditioning Banks' Joint Probability of Default on the Financial Cycle
We propose the CoJPoD, a novel framework explicitly linking the cross-sectional and cyclical dimensions of systemic risk. In this framework, banking...
The case against aggressive government action on crypto
The financial regulators have recently taken an active interest in cryptocurrencies, more than a decade after their law enforcement counterparts did...
What Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse tell us about financial regulations
The downfall of Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse has exposed failures in how we regulate the financial system. This column argues that the...
Lessons from the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank
The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank shows that banks still pose risks. Are they systemic? Jon Danielsson, Robert Macrae, and Nikola Tchouparov write...
The illusion of control: why the financial sector is more vulnerable than ever to a financial crisis
Reforms following the global financial crisis of 2008 were supposed to create a less risky financial world. But has a one-size-fits all approach to...
